{"id":25374,"date":"2026-04-09T06:23:15","date_gmt":"2026-04-08T22:23:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.xq.com.tw\/xstrader\/?p=25374"},"modified":"2026-04-09T06:23:15","modified_gmt":"2026-04-08T22:23:15","slug":"%e9%a6%ac%e6%96%af%e7%99%bb%c2%b7%e5%b8%95%e5%85%8b%ef%bc%88marsten-parker%ef%bc%89%e7%9a%84%e5%9d%87%e5%80%bc%e5%9b%9e%e6%ad%b8%e6%a8%a1%e5%9e%8b","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.xq.com.tw\/xstrader\/%e9%a6%ac%e6%96%af%e7%99%bb%c2%b7%e5%b8%95%e5%85%8b%ef%bc%88marsten-parker%ef%bc%89%e7%9a%84%e5%9d%87%e5%80%bc%e5%9b%9e%e6%ad%b8%e6%a8%a1%e5%9e%8b\/","title":{"rendered":"\u99ac\u65af\u767b\u00b7\u5e15\u514b\uff08Marsten Parker\uff09\u7684\u5747\u503c\u56de\u6b78\u6a21\u578b"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u99ac\u65af\u767b\u00b7\u5e15\u514b\uff08Marsten Parker\uff09\u662f\u5091\u514b\u00b7\u53f2\u74e6\u683c\uff08Jack Schwager\uff09\u5728\u300a\u7121\u540d\u91d1\u878d\u602a\u5091\u300b\uff08Unknown Market Wizards\uff09\u4e2d\u63a1\u8a2a\u7684\u4e00\u4f4d\u6975\u5ea6\u7279\u5225\u7684\u64cd\u76e4\u624b\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u8aaa\u4ed6\u7279\u5225\uff1f\u56e0\u70ba\u4ed6\u90a3\u500b\u5e74\u4ee3\u7684\u5927\u5e2b\uff0c\u7121\u8ad6\u662f\u50f9\u503c\u3001\u6210\u9577\u9084\u662f\u9006\u52e2\uff0c\u591a\u534a\u5e36\u6709\u300c\u4e3b\u89c0\u5224\u65b7\u300d\u7684\u6210\u5206\uff1b\u4f46 Marsten Parker \u662f\u4e00\u4f4d<\/span>100% \u7684\u7d14\u7cfb\u7d71\u5316\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\uff08Purely Systematic Trader\uff09<\/b>\u3002\u4ed6\u662f\u4e00\u4f4d\u7a0b\u5f0f\u8a2d\u8a08\u5e2b\uff0c\u81ea\u5df1\u958b\u767c\u4e86\u5f37\u5927\u7684\u56de\u6e2c\u8edf\u9ad4\uff08RealTest\uff09\uff0c\u5c07\u6240\u6709\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u898f\u5247\u5beb\u6210\u7a0b\u5f0f\u78bc\uff0c\u7531\u96fb\u8166\u81ea\u52d5\u57f7\u884c\u3002\u4ed6\u5728\u9577\u9054 20 \u5e74\u7684\u671f\u9593\uff0c\u5275\u9020\u4e86\u5e74\u5316\u5831\u916c\u7387\u8d85\u904e 20% \u7684\u9a5a\u4eba\u7e3e\u6548\uff0c\u4e14\u5b8c\u5168\u4e0d\u770b\u4efb\u4f55\u8ca1\u5831\u6216\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u6545\u4e8b\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

Marsten Parker \u539f\u672c\u662f\u4e00\u4f4d\u53e4\u5178\u5c0f\u63d0\u7434\u624b\uff0c\u5f8c\u4f86\u8f49\u884c\u6210\u70ba\u8edf\u9ad4\u5de5\u7a0b\u5e2b\u3002\u7576\u4ed6\u63a5\u89f8\u5230\u4ea4\u6613\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e00\u958b\u59cb\u7684\u300c\u4e3b\u89c0\u4ea4\u6613\u300d\u8b93\u4ed6\u5403\u76e1\u82e6\u982d\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u7d93\u6b77\u4e86 45% \u7684\u56b4\u91cd\u8cc7\u91d1\u56de\u64a4\u3002\u96a8\u5f8c\uff0c\u4ed6\u75db\u5b9a\u601d\u75db\uff0c\u6c7a\u5b9a\u767c\u63ee\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u5beb\u7a0b\u5f0f\u5c08\u9577\uff0c\u628a\u6240\u6709\u7684\u60c5\u7dd2\u8207\u4e3b\u89c0\u5224\u65b7\u5fb9\u5e95\u5254\u9664\uff0c\u8f49\u578b\u70ba\u5b8c\u5168\u4f9d\u8cf4\u7d71\u8a08\u5b78\u8207\u6f14\u7b97\u6cd5\u7684\u7cfb\u7d71\u5316\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u6838\u5fc3\u6295\u8cc7\u54f2\u5b78\uff1a<\/b><\/p>\n

    \n
  1. 100% \u7cfb\u7d71\u5316\u8207\u6392\u9664\u60c5\u7dd2 (Emotionless Execution)<\/b>\uff1a<\/span>
    \n<\/span>\u4ed6\u8a8d\u70ba\u4eba\u985e\u7684\u60c5\u7dd2\uff08\u6050\u61fc\u8207\u8caa\u5a6a\uff09\u662f\u4ea4\u6613\u8667\u640d\u7684\u5143\u5147\u3002\u4ed6\u4e0d\u770b\u65b0\u805e\u3001\u4e0d\u770b\u8ca1\u5831\u3001\u4e0d\u807d\u6545\u4e8b\u3002\u4ed6\u7684\u9032\u51fa\u5834\u5b8c\u5168\u4f9d\u8cf4\u50f9\u683c\u8207\u6210\u4ea4\u91cf\u7684\u6578\u5b78\u904b\u7b97\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u96fb\u8166\u8a0a\u865f\u4e00\u4eae\uff0c\u5c31\u6a5f\u68b0\u5316\u5730\u57f7\u884c\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n
  2. \u591a\u982d\u8da8\u52e2\u4e2d\u7684\u5747\u503c\u56de\u6b78 (Mean Reversion in Uptrends)<\/b>\uff1a<\/span>
    \n<\/span>\u4ed6\u6700\u559c\u6b61\u7684\u6f14\u7b97\u6cd5\u6a21\u578b\u4e4b\u4e00\u662f\u300c\u5747\u503c\u56de\u6b78\u300d\u3002\u4ed6\u6703\u5728\u80a1\u7968\u9577\u671f\u8655\u65bc\u591a\u982d\u8da8\u52e2\uff08\u78ba\u4fdd\u5927\u65b9\u5411\u5411\u4e0a\uff09\u6642\uff0c\u5c0b\u627e\u77ed\u7dda\u4e0a\u767c\u751f\u300c\u6975\u5ea6\u8d85\u8ce3\u3001\u4e56\u96e2\u904e\u5927\u300d\u7684\u6050\u614c\u8cb7\u9ede\u3002\u8cb7\u9032\u5f8c\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u50f9\u683c\u53cd\u5f48\u56de\u6b78\u5747\u503c\uff0c\u4ed6\u5c31\u6703\u5728\u5e7e\u5929\u5167\u8fc5\u901f\u7372\u5229\u4e86\u7d50\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n
  3. \u4e0d\u65b7\u6dd8\u6c70\u5931\u6548\u7684\u7b56\u7565 (Adaptability)<\/b>\uff1a<\/span>
    \n<\/span>\u4ed6\u6df1\u77e5\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u7d50\u69cb\u6703\u6539\u8b8a\uff0c\u6c92\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u4e00\u5957\u7b56\u7565\u53ef\u4ee5\u6c38\u9060\u6709\u6548\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\u4ed6\u900f\u904e\u8edf\u9ad4\u6301\u7e8c\u76e3\u63a7\u81ea\u5df1\u7b56\u7565\u7684\u5065\u5eb7\u5ea6\uff0c\u4e00\u65e6\u767c\u73fe\u67d0\u500b\u7b56\u7565\u7684\u7d71\u8a08\u512a\u52e2\u6d88\u5931\uff08Broken Strategy\uff09\uff0c\u4ed6\u6703\u7acb\u523b\u505c\u6b62\u4f7f\u7528\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n
  4. \u6975\u81f4\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u63a7\u7ba1\u8207\u5206\u6563 (Portfolio-Level Risk Control)<\/b>\uff1a<\/span>
    \n<\/span>\u4ed6\u4e0d\u62bc\u6ce8\u55ae\u4e00\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u8b93\u7cfb\u7d71\u540c\u6642\u8cb7\u9032\u4e00\u7c43\u5b50\u7b26\u5408\u689d\u4ef6\u7684\u6a19\u7684\u4f86\u5206\u6563\u975e\u7cfb\u7d71\u6027\u98a8\u96aa\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    \u6211\u8acbGemini\u4f9d\u64da\u4ed6\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u54f2\u5b78\u5beb\u7684\u9078\u80a1\u8173\u672c\u5982\u4e0b<\/p>\n

    \/\/ \u8173\u672c\u985e\u578b\uff1aType A \u9078\u80a1\u8173\u672c (Screener)\r\n\/\/ \u7b56\u7565\u540d\u7a31\uff1aMarsten Parker \u7d14\u91cf\u5316\u5747\u503c\u56de\u6b78\u7b56\u7565\r\n\/\/ \u7b56\u7565\u908f\u8f2f\uff1a100% \u6368\u68c4\u57fa\u672c\u9762\uff0c\u7d14\u7cb9\u4f9d\u8cf4\u7d71\u8a08\u5b78\uff0c\u5c0b\u627e\u9577\u7dda\u4f4d\u65bc 200 \u65e5\u5747\u7dda\u4e4b\u4e0a\uff0c\u4f46\u77ed\u7dda RSI \u6975\u5ea6\u8d85\u8ce3\u7684\u5747\u503c\u56de\u6b78\u8cb7\u9ede\r\n\r\n\/\/ \u78ba\u4fdd\u9577\u5929\u671f\u6b77\u53f2\u8cc7\u6599\u8b80\u53d6\u8db3\u5920 (\u8a08\u7b97 200 \u65e5\u5747\u7dda\u9700\u8981)\r\nSetTotalBar(260);\r\n\r\n\/\/ \u8b8a\u6578\u5ba3\u544a\u9435\u5f8b\uff1a\u7121\u5e95\u7dda\u3001\u7121\u7cfb\u7d71\u4fdd\u7559\u5b57 daily\u3001\u9810\u8a2d\u7d66\u5b9a\u521d\u59cb\u503c\r\nvar: volToday(0), ma200(0), rsiShort(0);\r\nvar: isTrendUp(false), isOversold(false);\r\n\r\n\/\/ \u56b4\u683c\u4f9d\u7167 Data Dictionary \u898f\u7bc4\u8b80\u53d6\u8cc7\u6599 (\u7d14\u6280\u8853\u9762\u8207\u50f9\u91cf)\r\nvolToday = GetField(\"\u6210\u4ea4\u91cf\", \"D\"); \/\/ \u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u6307\u6a19\r\n\r\n\/\/ \u689d\u4ef6\u4e00\uff1a\u5927\u8da8\u52e2\u4fdd\u8b77 (\u78ba\u8a8d\u9577\u7dda\u683c\u5c40\u4ecd\u70ba\u591a\u982d\uff0c\u80a1\u50f9\u4f4d\u65bc 200 \u65e5\u5747\u7dda\u4e4b\u4e0a)\r\nma200 = Average(Close, 200);\r\nif Close > ma200 then \r\nisTrendUp = true \r\nelse \r\nisTrendUp = false;\r\n\r\n\/\/ \u689d\u4ef6\u4e8c\uff1a\u77ed\u7dda\u6975\u5ea6\u8d85\u8ce3 (\u4f7f\u7528\u6975\u77ed\u5929\u671f\u7684 3 \u65e5 RSI \u5c0b\u627e\u5747\u503c\u56de\u6b78\u7684\u6050\u614c\u8cb7\u9ede)\r\nrsiShort = RSI(Close, 3);\r\nif rsiShort < 15.0 then \r\nisOversold = true \r\nelse \r\nisOversold = false;\r\n\r\n\/\/ \u6838\u5fc3\u91cf\u5316\u7d9c\u5408\u5224\u65b7\uff1a\u55ae\u4e00\u7b49\u865f\u3001\u5b8c\u6574\u908f\u8f2f\u5305\u8986\r\n\/\/ \u689d\u4ef6\u8aaa\u660e\uff1a\r\n\/\/ 1. isTrendUp = true (\u5927\u8da8\u52e2\u70ba\u591a\u982d\uff0c\u78ba\u4fdd\u4e0d\u662f\u8cb7\u5728\u9577\u7dda\u5d29\u76e4\u7684\u80a1\u7968)\r\n\/\/ 2. isOversold = true (\u77ed\u7dda\u51fa\u73fe\u6975\u7aef\u975e\u7406\u6027\u62cb\u552e\uff0c\u52dd\u7387\u6975\u9ad8\u7684\u53cd\u5f48\u8cb7\u9ede)\r\n\/\/ 3. volToday > 2000 (\u78ba\u4fdd\u7a0b\u5f0f\u81ea\u52d5\u4e0b\u55ae\u6642\u4e0d\u6703\u9047\u5230\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u67af\u7aed\u7684\u554f\u984c)\r\nif isTrendUp = true \r\nand isOversold = true \r\nand volToday > 2000 then begin\r\n\r\n\/\/ \u89f8\u767c\u689d\u4ef6\u6210\u7acb\r\nret = 1;\r\n\r\n\/\/ Type A \u9078\u80a1\u8173\u672c\u5c08\u5c6c\uff1a\u8f38\u51fa\u4e5d\u5bae\u683c\u6aa2\u9a57\u6b04\u4f4d (\u8b66\u793a\u8173\u672c\u7d55\u5c0d\u7981\u7528)\r\nOutputField1(rsiShort, \"3\u65e5RSI(\u8d85\u8ce3\u6307\u6a19)\");\r\nOutputField2(Close, \"\u4eca\u65e5\u6536\u76e4\u50f9\");\r\nOutputField3(ma200, \"200\u65e5\u5747\u7dda\");\r\nOutputField4(volToday, \"\u4eca\u65e5\u6210\u4ea4\u91cf\");\r\nend;\r\n\r\n\u56de\u6e2c\u5831\u544a\u5982\u4e0b<\/pre>\n
    \"\"<\/p>\n
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