{"id":25406,"date":"2026-04-15T15:08:54","date_gmt":"2026-04-15T07:08:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.xq.com.tw\/xstrader\/?p=25406"},"modified":"2026-04-15T15:08:54","modified_gmt":"2026-04-15T07:08:54","slug":"dan-sullivan-%e7%9a%84%e6%8a%95%e8%b3%87%e5%93%b2%e5%ad%b8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.xq.com.tw\/xstrader\/dan-sullivan-%e7%9a%84%e6%8a%95%e8%b3%87%e5%93%b2%e5%ad%b8\/","title":{"rendered":"Dan Sullivan \u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u54f2\u5b78"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Dan Sullivan \u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u6b77\u53f2\u6700\u60a0\u4e45\u3001\u6700\u53d7\u5c0a\u5d07\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u901a\u8a0a\u300a\u5716\u8868\u6d3e\u300b\uff08The Chartist\uff09\u7684\u5275\u8fa6\u4eba\u8207\u767c\u884c\u4eba\u3002\u5982\u679c\u8aaa\u524d\u9762\u6211\u5011\u898b\u8b58\u4e86\u5404\u7a2e\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u8207\u52d5\u80fd\u7684\u6df7\u8840\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc Sullivan \u5c31\u662f\u4e00\u4f4d**\u300c\u7d14\u7cb9\u5230\u4e0d\u80fd\u518d\u7d14\u7cb9\u7684\u76f8\u5c0d\u5f37\u5ea6\uff08Relative Strength\uff09\u8207\u8da8\u52e2\u8ddf\u96a8\u8005\u300d**\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u4ed6\u66fe\u516c\u958b\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u300c\u7576\u4f60\u628a\u6642\u9593\u82b1\u5728\u7814\u7a76\u76c8\u9918\u3001\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u6216\u7e3d\u9ad4\u7d93\u6fdf\u6642\uff0c\u4f60\u53ea\u662f\u5728\u6d6a\u8cbb\u6642\u9593\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u4e0a\u552f\u4e00\u771f\u5be6\u7684\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u50f9\u683c\u7684\u76f8\u5c0d\u8868\u73fe\u3002\u300d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u4ee5\u4e0b\u70ba\u60a8\u6574\u7406\u9019\u4f4d\u300c\u5716\u8868\u6d3e\u5b97\u5e2b\u300d\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u6295\u8cc7\u54f2\u5b78\uff0c\u4e26\u5c07\u4ed6\u9019\u5957\u300c\u7d55\u5c0d\u5f37\u52e2\u8207\u8da8\u52e2\u8ddf\u96a8\u6cd5\u5247\u300d\uff0c\u8f49\u5316\u70ba\u7b26\u5408 XQ \u7cfb\u7d71\u9650\u5236\u8207\u77e5\u8b58\u5eab\u6b04\u4f4d\u898f\u7bc4\u7684 XScript \u91cf\u5316\u9078\u80a1\u8173\u672c\uff0c\u4f5c\u70ba\u6211\u5011 Type A \u535a\u7269\u9928\u7684\u7d42\u6975\u9928\u85cf\uff01<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><b>\ud83d\udca1 \u4e39\uff0e\u8607\u5229\u6587 (Dan Sullivan) \u7d93\u6b77\u8207\u6295\u8cc7\u54f2\u5b78<\/b><\/h3>\n<p><b>\u6838\u5fc3\u6295\u8cc7\u54f2\u5b78\uff1a<\/b><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>\u76f8\u5c0d\u5f37\u5ea6\u662f\u4e00\u5207 (Relative Strength is King)<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\uff1a<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sullivan \u4e0d\u8cb7\u8dcc\u6df1\u53cd\u5f48\u7684\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u8cb7\u5927\u76e4\u6f32 10% \u5b83\u53ea\u6f32 5% \u7684\u6eab\u541e\u80a1\u3002\u4ed6\u53ea\u8cb7\u90a3\u4e9b\u300c\u6f32\u5e45\u9060\u9060\u8d85\u8d8a\u5927\u76e4\u8207\u5176\u4ed6\u591a\u6578\u80a1\u7968\u300d\u7684\u8d85\u7d1a\u9818\u982d\u7f8a\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>52 \u9031\u65b0\u9ad8\u7684\u9b54\u6cd5 (The Magic of 52-Week Highs)<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\uff1a<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u4ed6\u6700\u559c\u6b61\u7684\u8cb7\u9032\u8a0a\u865f\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u80a1\u50f9\u7a81\u7834\u6216\u903c\u8fd1 52 \u9031\uff08\u4e00\u5e74\uff09\u65b0\u9ad8\u3002\u4ed6\u6df1\u4fe1\uff0c\u6703\u5275\u4e0b\u4e00\u5e74\u65b0\u9ad8\u7684\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u4ee3\u8868\u4e0a\u65b9\u5df2\u7d93\u6c92\u6709\u5957\u7262\u8ce3\u58d3\uff0c\u524d\u65b9\u662f\u842c\u91cc\u7121\u96f2\u7684\u98c6\u6f32\u5929\u7a7a\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>\u9577\u7dda\u8da8\u52e2\u7684\u4fdd\u8b77 (The Long-Term Trend)<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\uff1a<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u5373\u4f7f\u80a1\u7968\u77ed\u671f\u5f88\u5f37\u52e2\uff0c\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u5b83\u8dcc\u7834\u4e86\u9577\u671f\u7684 200 \u65e5\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff08\u5e74\u7dda\uff09\uff0c\u5728 Sullivan \u773c\u88e1\uff0c\u9019\u6a94\u80a1\u7968\u5c31\u5df2\u7d93\u300c\u6b7b\u4ea1\u300d\u4e86\u3002\u4ed6\u8981\u6c42\u80a1\u7968\u5fc5\u9808\u7a69\u7a69\u7ad9\u5728\u4e2d\u9577\u671f\u5747\u7dda\u4e4b\u4e0a\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>\u5fb9\u5e95\u7121\u8996\u57fa\u672c\u9762 (Zero Fundamentals)<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\uff1a<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u4ed6\u4e0d\u5728\u4e4e\u9019\u5bb6\u516c\u53f8\u662f\u8ce3\u534a\u5c0e\u9ad4\u9084\u662f\u8ce3\u885b\u751f\u7d19\uff0c\u4ed6\u5b8c\u5168\u4e0d\u770b EPS\u3001\u71df\u6536\u6216 P\/E\u3002\u53ea\u8981\u8cc7\u91d1\u5728\u63a8\u5347\u5b83\u7684\u50f9\u683c\uff0c\u5b83\u5c31\u662f\u597d\u80a1\u7968\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h3><b>\u2699\ufe0f XScript \u908f\u8f2f\u89e3\u69cb (Type A: \u9078\u80a1\u8173\u672c &#8211; \u8607\u5229\u6587\u7d55\u5c0d\u76f8\u5c0d\u5f37\u5ea6\u7b56\u7565)<\/b><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u70ba\u4e86\u5728\u53f0\u80a1\u7684 XQ \u7cfb\u7d71\u4e2d\u5b8c\u7f8e\u9084\u539f Dan Sullivan \u7684\u54f2\u5b78\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u5c07\u5fb9\u5e95\u62d4\u9664\u6240\u6709\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u689d\u4ef6\uff0c\u5efa\u7acb\u4e00\u500b**\u300c\u9577\u7dda\u591a\u982d \uff0b \u534a\u5e74\u5167\u6975\u7aef\u5f37\u52e2 \uff0b \u903c\u8fd1\u4e00\u5e74\u65b0\u9ad8\u300d**\u7684\u7d14\u6280\u8853\u52d5\u80fd\u6a21\u578b\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>\u5927\u8da8\u52e2\u7684\u751f\u547d\u7dda (Long-Term Trend)<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\uff1a<\/span>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"2\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u591a\u982d\u6392\u5217\uff1a\u4eca\u65e5 <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u6536\u76e4\u50f9<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> \u5fc5\u9808\u5927\u65bc 50 \u65e5\u5747\u7dda\uff08\u5b63\u7dda\uff09\uff0c\u4e14 50 \u65e5\u5747\u7dda\u5fc5\u9808\u5927\u65bc 200 \u65e5\u5747\u7dda\uff08\u5e74\u7dda\uff09\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>\u76f8\u5c0d\u5f37\u5ea6\u7684\u91cf\u5316 (Relative Strength Proxy)<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\uff1a<\/span>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"2\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u65e2\u7136\u662f\u5e02\u5834\u6700\u5f37\u7684\u9818\u982d\u7f8a\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u8a08\u7b97\u904e\u53bb\u534a\u5e74\uff08\u7d04 120 \u500b\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\uff09\u7684\u300c\u50f9\u683c\u8b8a\u52d5\u7387\uff08Rate of Change, ROC\uff09\u300d\u3002\u8981\u6c42 <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">roc120<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> &gt; 30.0%\uff08\u4ee3\u8868\u9019\u6a94\u80a1\u7968\u5728\u904e\u53bb\u534a\u5e74\u5167\u5df2\u7d93\u6f32\u4e86\u8d85\u904e 30%\uff0c\u5c55\u73fe\u51fa\u6975\u5f37\u7684\u76f8\u5c0d\u5f37\u5ea6\uff09\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>\u842c\u91cc\u7121\u96f2\u7684\u5275\u65b0\u9ad8 (Near 52-Week High)<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\uff1a<\/span>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"2\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u4eca\u65e5 <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u6536\u76e4\u50f9<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> \u8ddd\u96e2\u904e\u53bb 250 \u5929\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u50f9\u4e0d\u5230 5%\uff08\u5373 <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Close &gt;= high250 * 0.95<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\uff09\uff0c\u96a8\u6642\u6e96\u5099\u7a81\u7834\u5929\u969b\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>\u52d5\u80fd\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u8840\u6db2 (High Liquidity)<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\uff1a<\/span>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"2\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u7d14\u6280\u8853\u6d3e\u6700\u91cd\u8996\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\uff0c\u9650\u5236 <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u6210\u4ea4\u91cf<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> &gt; 2000 \u5f35<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><b>XScript \u7a0b\u5f0f\u78bc<\/b><\/p>\n<pre class='brush:xs'>\/\/ \u8173\u672c\u985e\u578b\uff1aType A \u9078\u80a1\u8173\u672c (Screener)\r\n\/\/ \u7b56\u7565\u540d\u7a31\uff1aDan Sullivan (\u5716\u8868\u6d3e) \u7d55\u5c0d\u76f8\u5c0d\u5f37\u5ea6\u7b56\u7565\r\n\/\/ \u7b56\u7565\u908f\u8f2f\uff1a\u5fb9\u5e95\u7121\u8996\u57fa\u672c\u9762\uff01\u5c0b\u627e\u5747\u7dda\u9577\u7dda\u591a\u982d\u3001\u534a\u5e74\u5167\u6f32\u5e45\u8d85\u904e 30%\uff0c\u4e14\u80a1\u50f9\u8ddd\u96e2 52 \u9031\u65b0\u9ad8\u4e0d\u5230 5% \u7684\u8d85\u7d1a\u9818\u982d\u7f8a\r\n\r\n\/\/ \u78ba\u4fdd\u9577\u5929\u671f\u6b77\u53f2\u8cc7\u6599\u8b80\u53d6\u8db3\u5920 (\u8a08\u7b97 200 \u65e5\u5e74\u7dda\u8207 250 \u65e5\u6700\u9ad8\u50f9\u9700\u8981)\r\nSetTotalBar(260);\r\n\r\n\/\/ \u8b8a\u6578\u5ba3\u544a\u9435\u5f8b\uff1a\u7121\u5e95\u7dda\u3001\u7121\u7cfb\u7d71\u4fdd\u7559\u5b57 daily\u3001\u9810\u8a2d\u7d66\u5b9a\u521d\u59cb\u503c\r\nvar: ma50(0), ma200(0), high250(0), roc120(0), volToday(0);\r\nvar: isTrendUp(false), isRelativeStrong(false);\r\n\r\n\/\/ \u56b4\u683c\u4f9d\u7167 Data Dictionary \u8b80\u53d6\u6280\u8853\u8207\u50f9\u91cf\u8cc7\u6599\r\nvolToday = GetField(\"\u6210\u4ea4\u91cf\", \"D\"); \/\/ \u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u6307\u6a19\r\n\r\n\/\/ \u8a08\u7b97\u4e2d\u9577\u7dda\u5747\u7dda\u8207 52 \u9031\u6700\u9ad8\u50f9\r\nma50 = Average(Close, 50);\r\nma200 = Average(Close, 200);\r\nhigh250 = Highest(High, 250);\r\n\r\n\/\/ \u8a08\u7b97 120 \u65e5 (\u7d04\u534a\u5e74) \u7684\u8b8a\u52d5\u7387 (Rate of Change)\uff0c\u4f5c\u70ba\u76f8\u5c0d\u5f37\u5ea6\u7684\u4ee3\u7406\u6307\u6a19\r\n\/\/ \u9632\u5446\u6a5f\u5236\uff1a\u78ba\u4fdd 120 \u5929\u524d\u7684\u6536\u76e4\u50f9\u5927\u65bc 0\r\nif Close[120] &gt; 0.0 then \r\nroc120 = ((Close - Close[120]) \/ Close[120]) * 100.0 \r\nelse \r\nroc120 = 0.0;\r\n\r\n\/\/ \u689d\u4ef6\u4e00\uff1a\u9577\u7dda\u5927\u8da8\u52e2\u4fdd\u8b77 (\u80a1\u50f9\u5927\u65bc 50 \u65e5\u7dda\uff0c\u4e14 50 \u65e5\u7dda\u5927\u65bc 200 \u65e5\u7dda)\r\nif Close &gt; ma50 and ma50 &gt; ma200 then \r\nisTrendUp = true \r\nelse \r\nisTrendUp = false;\r\n\r\n\/\/ \u689d\u4ef6\u4e8c\uff1a\u7d55\u5c0d\u76f8\u5c0d\u5f37\u5ea6\u8207\u5275\u65b0\u9ad8 (\u534a\u5e74\u5167\u6f32\u5e45\u8d85\u904e 30%\uff0c\u4e14\u903c\u8fd1 52 \u9031\u65b0\u9ad8 5% \u4ee5\u5167)\r\nif roc120 &gt; 30.0 and Close &gt;= (high250 * 0.95) then \r\nisRelativeStrong = true \r\nelse \r\nisRelativeStrong = false;\r\n\r\n\/\/ \u6838\u5fc3\u91cf\u5316\u7d9c\u5408\u5224\u65b7\uff1a\u55ae\u4e00\u7b49\u865f\u3001\u5b8c\u6574\u908f\u8f2f\u5305\u8986\r\n\/\/ \u689d\u4ef6\u8aaa\u660e\uff1a\r\n\/\/ 1. isTrendUp = true (\u5927\u8da8\u52e2\u78ba\u8a8d\u7121\u8aa4)\r\n\/\/ 2. isRelativeStrong = true (\u5b8c\u7f8e\u7b26\u5408 Sullivan \u5c0d\u300c\u76f8\u5c0d\u5f37\u5ea6\u300d\u8207\u300c\u5275\u65b0\u9ad8\u300d\u7684\u72c2\u71b1\u8ffd\u6c42)\r\n\/\/ 3. volToday &gt; 2000 (\u78ba\u4fdd\u9032\u51fa\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u6975\u4f73\uff0c\u96a8\u6642\u53ef\u4ee5\u505c\u640d\u64a4\u9000)\r\nif isTrendUp = true \r\nand isRelativeStrong = true \r\nand volToday &gt; 2000 then begin\r\n\r\n\/\/ \u89f8\u767c\u689d\u4ef6\u6210\u7acb\r\nret = 1;\r\n\r\n\/\/ Type A \u9078\u80a1\u8173\u672c\u5c08\u5c6c\uff1a\u8f38\u51fa\u4e5d\u5bae\u683c\u6aa2\u9a57\u6b04\u4f4d (\u8b66\u793a\u8173\u672c\u7d55\u5c0d\u7981\u7528)\r\nOutputField1(roc120, \"\u534a\u5e74\u6f32\u5e45ROC(%)\");\r\nOutputField2(high250, \"52\u9031\u6700\u9ad8\u50f9\");\r\nOutputField3(Close, \"\u4eca\u65e5\u5f37\u52e2\u6536\u76e4\u50f9\");\r\nOutputField4(ma200, \"200\u65e5\u5747\u7dda(\u5e74\u7dda)\");\r\nOutputField5(volToday, \"\u4eca\u65e5\u6210\u4ea4\u91cf\");\r\nend;<\/pre>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u56de\u6e2c\u5831\u544a\u5982\u4e0b<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-25408\" src=\"https:\/\/www.xq.com.tw\/xstrader\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/2026041501.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1579\" height=\"915\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.xq.com.tw\/xstrader\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/2026041501.png 1579w, https:\/\/www.xq.com.tw\/xstrader\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/2026041501-300x174.png 300w, https:\/\/www.xq.com.tw\/xstrader\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/2026041501-1024x593.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.xq.com.tw\/xstrader\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/2026041501-768x445.png 768w, https:\/\/www.xq.com.tw\/xstrader\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/2026041501-1536x890.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.xq.com.tw\/xstrader\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/2026041501-660x382.png 660w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1579px) 100vw, 1579px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dan Sullivan \u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u6b77\u53f2\u6700\u60a0\u4e45\u3001\u6700\u53d7\u5c0a\u5d07\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u901a\u8a0a\u300a\u5716\u8868\u6d3e\u300b\uff08The Chartist\uff09\u7684\u5275\u8fa6\u4eba\u8207\u767c\u884c\u4eba\u3002\u5982\u679c\u8aaa\u524d\u9762\u6211\u5011\u898b\u8b58\u4e86\u5404\u7a2e\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u8207\u52d5\u80fd\u7684\u6df7\u8840\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc Sullivan 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